Understanding where prices are heading is essential for every household, business, and policymaker in Somalia. Our CPI Forecast provides a clear, forward-looking view of inflation, helping the country anticipate changes in the cost of living before they occur. SRA offers a reliable and transparent outlook based on real market data and statistical modeling. This forecast helps users plan better whether they are adjusting budgets, preparing interventions, or monitoring economic stability.
Somalia CPI Forecast – November 2025
Prepared by Somali Researchers Association (SRA)
Overview:
Somalia’s inflation has been rising steadily over the past two months, as shown by official CPI figures.
- September 2025: +0.6% MoM
- October 2025: +0.8% MoM
- November 2025 Forecast: +0.9% MoM
This increase is driven by continued pressure in food prices, housing and utilities, and restaurant services.
What Is Driving Prices Up?
- Housing & Utilities: Strongest monthly increase in October (+1.4%), expected to continue.
- Food Prices: Two months of positive growth, the largest weight in the CPI basket.
- Household Goods & Restaurants: Both increasing steadily.
Expected Year-on-Year Inflation:
If November rises as forecast, annual inflation will likely shift from 3.9% → 4.1–4.2%.
Why This Matters to the Public:
A 0.9% rise means:
- Households may face slightly higher living costs.
- Businesses should prepare for higher operating expenses.
- Policymakers need to monitor inflation risks closely.
SRA provides this forecast to help Somalia plan ahead, manage rising costs, and understand economic trends early.